Methodology

How AMORDAD thinks.

A pipeline. Six frameworks. One verdict. Below is exactly what happens in the ninety seconds between your ticker entry and the letter that lands on your desk.

The Pipeline

From Ticker to Verdict

Each step is independent. Each step is auditable. The brain leaves a trace of what it read and how it reasoned.

01
Ticker Input
Any publicly listed equity. US, Canada, UK, EU.
→
02
Filings Retrieval
SEC EDGAR · 10-K · 10-Q · 8-K · DEF 14A · last 5 years
→
03
Annual Report Parsing
Letters to shareholders, MD&A, segment economics.
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04
Financial Computation
Owner earnings · DCF · ROIC · FCF yield · scenarios
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05
AI Synthesis
Six lenses applied. Convergence and divergence flagged.
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06
Multi-Investor Verdict
Conviction-weighted recommendation. Honest dissent.
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07
Letter & PDF
Buffett-tradition memo. Exportable, archivable.
The Six Lenses

Six Frameworks, Six Doctrines.

Each investor reads the same business and asks a different question. We do not average their answers — we present them. Where they agree, conviction is genuine. Where they disagree, the texture of the investment becomes visible.

WB
Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway

"Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre."

— 1989 Letter to Shareholders
Favors
Predictable cash generation. Wide moats. Owner-operators who treat retained earnings as their own. A balance sheet that lets the manager sleep.
Rejects
Businesses that require quarterly heroics. Capital-hungry industries. Management with no skin in the game. Forecasts that depend on macro miracles.
CM
Charlie Munger
Vice Chairman

"Invert. Always invert. Tell me where I'm going to die, so I never go there."

— On Mental Models
Favors
Businesses where you can list the ways they could fail and still hold the position. Latticework thinking. Ruthless avoidance of stupidity.
Rejects
Stories that require everything to go right. Incentive structures that reward the wrong behavior. Anything Charlie would call "too hard."
BA
Bill Ackman
Pershing Square

"We invest in simple, predictable, free-cash-flow-generative businesses with deep moats."

— Pershing Square Holdings, Annual Letter
Favors
Concentrated positions. Specific catalysts on a 2—3 year horizon. Activist optionality. High-quality management willing to listen.
Rejects
Hope as a strategy. Businesses without a tangible path to value realization. Diluted theses across thirty positions.
CH
Chris Hohn
TCI Fund Management

"The most important question is: how high are the barriers to entry, and how durable are they?"

— TCI Investor Letter
Favors
Infrastructure and platform monopolies. Capital-light compounders. Management that returns excess cash rather than empire-builds.
Rejects
Diworsification. Empire-building M&A. Industries with shrinking returns on capital. Management aligned with their own ego.
LL
Li Lu
Himalaya Capital

"You really only need a few good ideas in your lifetime, but you have to be able to recognize them."

— Columbia Business School Lecture
Favors
Deep, almost obsessive understanding of one industry. Long holding periods. Compounding earned through patience, not turnover.
Rejects
Surface-level theses. Businesses outside the circle of competence. Trades dressed up as investments.
SK
Seth Klarman
Baupost Group

"In investing, you are correct or incorrect — but the market does not have to agree on your timeline."

— Margin of Safety
Favors
Asymmetric risk-reward. Cash as a position when nothing is cheap. Distressed and special-situation patience. The ability to do nothing.
Rejects
Permanent capital impairment. Leverage that compounds against you. Optimism about businesses you do not understand.
Valuation

Owner Earnings — Buffett's Preferred Metric.

Reported earnings can be massaged. Free cash flow ignores reinvestment requirements. Owner earnings is the figure Buffett actually uses to value a business — and the figure AMORDAD computes on every analysis.

Reported EarningsA+Depreciation & AmortizationBMaintenance CapExC±Working Capital ChangesD=Owner EarningsOE

"The figure for the cash a business throws off — that the owner could remove without harming the business's competitive position."

Earnings Intelligence

Earnings Quality Analysis.

Reported EPS is the starting point, not the conclusion. AMORDAD computes a full earnings quality assessment on every analysis — measuring cash conversion, accruals discipline, share-count manipulation, and the gap between what GAAP reports and what Buffett actually calls earnings.

The Owner Earnings Gap

GAAP net income includes non-cash charges, one-time items, and accounting choices. Owner Earnings strips all of that away. The spread between the two numbers — positive or negative — is AMORDAD's first earnings quality signal.

Six Lenses, One Number

Each investor in the panel reads earnings through a distinct framework. Munger inverts: what is management hiding? Ackman normalizes: what is the real recurring capacity? Klarman stress-tests: what do these earnings become in a recession? All six voices, applied to the same reported figure.

The Quality Score

A 0—100 composite score based on cash conversion consistency, accrual quality, share-count discipline, and how often "non-recurring" items recur. A score above 80 signals trustworthy earnings. Below 50 is a red flag worth reading carefully.

Risk

The Margin of Safety.

Klarman wrote a book on it. Graham named it. The principle is simple: never buy a business at its intrinsic value. Buy it at a discount large enough that being wrong about the future does not become a permanent loss.

AMORDAD Buy ThresholdEstimated Intrinsic Value25% margin of safety
$0$IV × 0.50$IV × 0.75$IV (fair value)

AMORDAD will not return a COMPOUNDER takeaway unless the business trades at or below seventy-five percent of estimated intrinsic value. The buffer absorbs error in the model — and there is always error in the model.

Scoring

Six Independent Dimensions.

Every analysis scores the business across five orthogonal axes. A wonderful business with bad management is not the same as a mediocre business with great management. We do not blend them.

Financials
8.4/10
Margins, growth, cash conversion, debt
Valuation
7.1/10
Price vs. intrinsic value, margin of safety
Moat
9.2/10
Durability of competitive advantage
Management
8.6/10
Capital allocation track record, alignment
Catalysts
6.8/10
Identifiable triggers for value realization
Earnings Quality
8.7/10
GAAP vs. Owner Earnings, accruals, quality score
Insider Signal

Insider & Congressional Intelligence.

Fundamental analysis tells you what a business is worth. Insider and congressional trading data tells you what the most informed people in the world are actually doing with their own money. AMORDAD surfaces both, for every analysis you run.

Corporate Insiders

SEC Form 4 · 30-Day Window

CEOs, CFOs, directors, and 10% beneficial owners are required to disclose trades within two business days of the transaction. When a CEO buys $10M of their own stock quietly, AMORDAD flags it. When a CFO sells heavily in an unusual pattern, AMORDAD flags that too. Net buy/sell value and a sentiment verdict — from STRONG BUY SIGNAL to HEAVY SELLING — are computed for every ticker analyzed.

U.S. Congress Members

STOCK Act · Senate & House · 45-Day Disclosure

Congressional trading disclosures are widely tracked as a sentiment signal by professional research desks. Required by the STOCK Act, these filings — from both the Senate and House — have drawn academic and institutional attention as a supplementary data source. AMORDAD pulls all available disclosures via the FMP API, filters to the 30-day window, and presents them with a sentiment classification alongside the fundamental analysis — not as investment advice, but as context most screeners ignore.

Data Source

All insider and congressional data is sourced from the Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) API. Insider transactions are derived from SEC Form 4 filings. Congressional disclosures are filed under the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge (STOCK) Act, which requires disclosure within 45 days of the transaction. AMORDAD does not interpret this data as investment advice — it presents it as one signal among many, alongside the six-framework fundamental analysis.

The Letter

The AMORDAD Capital Memorandum.

Every analysis ends in a letter. The letter is signed by the AMORDAD Capital Investment Office. It is written in the spirit of Buffett's sixty years of shareholder letters — but it is independent. It will tell you when a famous stock is overpriced. It will tell you when the business has changed for the worse.

Honesty

The letter does not exist to confirm what you already think. Roughly one in three letters declines a famous stock. We would rather lose a subscriber than tell them what they want to hear.

Independence

No advertising relationships. No paid placements. No undisclosed positions. The investment office holds no stocks personally and accepts no compensation from any company analyzed.

Tradition

Plain prose. Numbered paragraphs. Owner-mindset framing. A signature. The form is taken seriously because the form carries meaning — the way Berkshire's letters do.

Reference

Glossary of Terms.

Owner Earnings

The cash a business generates after the reinvestment required to maintain its competitive position. The number Buffett uses to value Berkshire's businesses.

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)

A valuation that projects future cash flows and discounts them to present value. Useful as a discipline. Dangerous when treated as truth.

ROIC

Return on invested capital. The single best measure of capital efficiency. A business compounding at 20% ROIC will, over time, swallow a business at 8%.

Margin of Safety

The discount between intrinsic value and price. Graham's central idea. If your model is off by 20%, the buffer absorbs the error.

Owner Earnings Gap

The percentage difference between GAAP EPS and Owner Earnings per share. A large positive gap (Owner EPS exceeds GAAP) signals conservative accounting and high-quality earnings. A negative gap is a red flag.

ROIRE (Return on Retained Earnings)

Hohn's test: for every dollar of earnings the company retains rather than paying out, how much new shareholder value is created? Below 12 cents on the dollar is unacceptable. Above 20 is exceptional.

See it in action — begin a free analysis.

AMORDAD Capital is a research publication — not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, portfolio manager, or financial planner in any jurisdiction. The "Investment Office" designation is a brand name for this publication and does not imply a regulated investment management firm. AMORDAD is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to Berkshire Hathaway, Pershing Square, TCI Fund Management, Himalaya Capital, Baupost Group, or any named investor. All output is AI-generated and intended for educational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results. All investing involves risk, including the loss of principal.

AMORDAD Capital · © 2026 · Published from Canada